(Photo courtesy of Heitkamp’s office)
Article by Bryan Howard
October 03, 2018
There is a tide shift in the Senate polls since Democrats have unfairly targeted Brett Kavanaugh. There are 4 Democrat seats in particular that seem to be hurting in the polls for the Democrats that could give Republicans a larger majority in the senate after the November mid-terms. The four seats that are becoming a disaster for Democrats are New Jersey, Missouri, North Dakota, and Indiana.
- North Dakota 10 point lead in favor of Republicans.
Incumbent Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) has fallen behind her Republican Challenger Rep. Kevin Cramer by 10 points according to “Five Thirty Eight” polls. The likely hood of Cramer winning this seat is probable which means the Democrats will lose this seat in November.
2. Missouri 2 point lead in favor of Republicans.
Incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) has fallen behind her Republican challenger Rep. Josh Hawley by 2 points according to “Five Thirty Eight” polls. A two point lead is a toss up and falls with in the margin of error, but it is worth noting Missouri voted in heavy favor for President Trump in 2016.
3. Indiana 3 point lead in favor of Democrats.
Incumbent Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-IN) is in a tight race with Republican challenger Rep. Mike Braun. Donnelly has only a 3 point lead according to “Five Thirty Eight” polls. The poll was taken before the Brett Kavanaugh hearing and will likely shift in favor of Republican Braun since Indiana was a heavy Trump voting state. It also needs to be noted 3 points falls in the margin of error category which means it’s a toss up.
4. New Jersey 2 point lead in favor of Democrats.
The far left state of New Jersey is in a surprising heated race in their senate seat. Incumbent Senator Bob Menedez (D-NJ) is in a heated race with Republican challenger Rep. Bob Hugin. Mendez has a 2 point lead according to “Five Thirty Eight” polls. The race is considered a toss up and falls within the margin of error. It is hard to judge what the outcome of this race will be considering New Jersey is a heavy blue state.
If Democrats lose these seats Republicans could have a majority in the Senate that would be capable of passing any conservative agenda they want through the Senate. There are some indications Republicans are closing in on the House polls as well. The projected blue wave is starting to hit a red wall.